Prediction Intelligence

The Market Is Mispriced.
We Know By How Much.

MiroFish simulates thousands of AI agents to generate independent probability estimates on real-world events — then compares them to live Polymarket odds to surface exploitable divergences.

How It Works

From Question to Edge in Minutes

Ingest

Feed MiroFish any Polymarket question along with current news, data, and context.

Simulate

Our AI spawns thousands of independent agent simulations, each reasoning from different information angles to arrive at a probability.

Compare

MiroFish surfaces markets where its probability diverges significantly from Polymarket pricing — flagging potential edges for traders and analysts.

Live Divergence Feed

Current High-Divergence Markets

Updated continuously. Subscribers get real-time alerts.

"Will a major central bank cut rates by 50bps or more at their next meeting?"

+29% ↑

Polymarket 12%

MiroFish 41%

"Will [Geopolitical event] escalate to direct military confrontation by mid-2026?"

-34% ↓

Polymarket 68%

MiroFish 34%

🔒Subscribe to unlock full feed

"Will US headline CPI fall below 2% before end of 2026?"

+17% ↑

Polymarket 5%

MiroFish 22%

🔒Subscribe to unlock full feed

Use Cases

Built for People Who Need to Be Right

Prediction Market Traders

Find systematic mispricings before the crowd. MiroFish doesn't follow sentiment — it simulates it.

Venture Capital & Investors

Scenario-model geopolitical and regulatory risks before they price into your portfolio.

Political Campaigns

Model how events cascade through voter sentiment networks. Know what's coming before polls do.

Media & Research

Publish AI-backed probability reports that drive traffic and establish editorial authority.

Pricing

Serious Edge. Serious Pricing.

Analyst

^$99/mo

Reports/mo 10
Alerts Weekly digest
Markets Top 20
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Questions & Answers

Reading the news gives you the same information everyone else has — which means it's already priced in. MiroFish doesn't just summarize what happened. It runs thousands of independent AI agent simulations that each reason about cause-and-effect chains, second-order consequences, and historical analogs. The result is a probability estimate that's structurally different from crowd consensus — which is exactly where edge lives.

Yes. MiroFish provides probabilistic analysis and research — the same kind of analytical edge that quant funds and professional traders use in traditional markets. It's publicly available information processed through AI reasoning. There is no non-public information involved. Always consult your own legal counsel regarding your specific jurisdiction and trading activity.

Our internal backtesting shows MiroFish identifies meaningful divergences that resolve in our favor at a rate significantly above baseline. Accuracy varies by market type — geopolitical and policy events tend to perform better than ultra-short-term or sports markets. We publish calibration metrics alongside each report so you can assess confidence levels yourself. No prediction system is perfect, and we're transparent about uncertainty.

Analyst tier covers the top 20 highest-liquidity Polymarket markets updated daily. Trader tier covers all open markets on Polymarket with real-time updates. Institutional clients can request custom coverage including private markets, tailored event categories, and bespoke forecasting domains beyond Polymarket entirely.

API access is available on the Institutional plan. The MiroFish API returns structured JSON with probability estimates, confidence intervals, divergence scores, and supporting reasoning traces. It's designed for embedding into trading dashboards, research platforms, or automated alerting systems. Contact us to discuss your use case and get sandbox credentials.

The Market Is Mispriced. We Know By How Much.